It is expected that ternary cathode material prices will continue to rise in Q4 [SMM Ternary Cathode Material Market Weekly Review]

Published: Sep 25, 2025 17:16
Persistent tightness in nickel sulphate supply, the extension of cobalt export policies in the DRC, and the imminent release of domestic lithium ore mining-related regulations are expected to collectively drive a further rise in ternary cathode material prices in Q4.

This week, ternary cathode material prices continued their significant upward trend. Cost side, lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices were in a phase of minor fluctuations, while cobalt sulphate and nickel sulphate maintained their substantial upward trajectory, providing strong support for ternary cathode material costs.

Overall market demand performed well this month, but producers faced considerable cost pressure, and raw material price trends remained highly uncertain. Considering factors such as the persistently tight supply of nickel sulphate, the extension of cobalt export policies in the DRC, and the imminent release of domestic lithium mining-related policies, ternary cathode material prices are expected to rise further in Q4.

Demand side, pre-National Day stockpiling combined with robust demand in the domestic EV market drove an increase in producer operating rates, with current orders at relatively high levels for the year. Demand is expected to gradually pull back after October.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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